NHC has 99L back down to 30% chance of formation. There’s a non-tropical low off the coast of Texas that’s interfering, along with some shear. That’s good news. It’s definitely a rain even today and tomorrow for NW FL.

So now we’re here at Monday. What’s the rain looking like? Here’s the NWS WPC rain forecast for the next three days:

NWS WPC Rain Forecast (3-day)

NWS WPC Rain Forecast (3-day)

I was hoping my preferred spag would be ready for this update, but it’s not and I need to publish this, so… here’s the latest spag:

Latest Spag

Latest Spag

That’s basically Fort Walton Beach to the Big Bend on the spread. Rain for everyone anyway.

I’m embedding the latest GOES East infrared imagery so you can see the moisture in the system right now, which is well to the east of the center:

So, lots of rain. Yay!

And finally, here’s the NHC write-up:

An area of low pressure centered over the south-central Gulf of
Mexico, about 300 miles west of Key West, is producing a large area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends from western
Cuba northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico.  The circulation
associated with this system has become a little less well defined
since yesterday, and upper-level winds are not favorable for
significant development.  The system is expected to move northward
toward the northern Gulf Coast over the next 24 to 36 hours, to the
east of a broader non-tropical area of low pressure located over the
western Gulf of Mexico.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if
necessary.  Regardless of whether or not the system becomes a
tropical cyclone, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of
the southeastern United States during the next few days.  For
additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service and products from your local
National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent